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The bullish pound sterling?

November 29, 2017 / / 6 Comments

Sometimes it’s really hard to write a post about a topic I wrote so many times before. I’ve just recently posted an update on the USD view focusing on the EURUSD pair. Even though I am writing about the pound sterling today it goes hand in hand with the bearish US dollar thesis because the cable is arguably the most important GBP pair.

Two weeks ago I tweeted “Anyone else thinks this is likely? $GBPUSD” suggesting that I am expecting a resolution higher in price. Read More

EVs to drive copper prices higher?

November 20, 2017 / / No Comments

No, I don’t think we are there yet, I don’t think there is a recession imminent just yet as some are suggesting. On the contrary, there are some great things happening right now, some trends are just starting. For instance, electric vehicles sector is just about to take off and bullish oil could just speed up the whole process.

And as you may know, copper is a key element of every electric component because it’s a great conductor. If we assume that a recession is not imminent and among other electrification EV sector is just starting to take off then it is fair to say that demand for copper should pick up too, right? Read More

What happens if you trap some bears ahead of the winter?

November 14, 2017 / / 2 Comments

I guess they could go into a panic mode and it could get ugly! In this case I would not want to stand in their way, but I would rather use the opportunity, run behind them and press the bears even more.

As you know, I am a long-term US dollar bear, I wrote about my views many times before. Two months ago I wrote a post about an expected ST correction in the dollar (or in FX pairs against the dollar). We did get it, but in EURUSD not as deep as I have been expecting. Which is not bad if you ask me, just shows how strong EUR really is. Or if one wants to put it differently, it shows how hard it is for USD to catch a bid.  Read More

Time for Ethereum’s turn?

November 8, 2017 / / 2 Comments

In the last couple of months Bitcoin took all the spotlight and it was well deserved. Man, the run Bitcoin had was probably unthinkable even by the most wild crypto bulls. While it still could run higher, maybe a lot higher, it could be time for Ether to take the turn and outperform.

Why not, we’ve seen a crazy rally in Bitcoin, a pause therefore wouldn’t be surprising and it wasn’t uncommon for them to take turns. On the other hand Ether is consolidating early 2017 gains for approximately 5 months now, but what’s nice is that it recovered very well after yesterday’s negative news and the bulls were able to reclaim $300 level and as of writing it’s trying to reclaim a very important $310 level.

From the chart below we can see that the last time ETH/USD rallied was alongside the ratio ETH/BTC or in other words in time of ETH’s outperformance. Similar happened in early 2016 too! Read More

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