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Shorting German auto industry

November 30, 2018 / / No Comments

German DAX30 stock index has been one of the weakest so far this year. I’ve been arguing for the past couple of months that if the price of DAX is falling it’s hard to be bullish on stocks as an asset class (see Winter coming?). Many people are refusing to accept that we could see a deeper correction. The same goes to the perma bear camp that refused to accept higher prices until the end of this September.

I, on the other hand, like to keep an open mind and if prices are falling, why not shorting them. They’d fall anyway and it doesn’t do me any good if I’m observing on the sidelines. However, long or short, bullish or bearish, one must respect risks and be willing to accept things could change in a heart beat. Like we did in the first week of October this year. 

Like the US FAANG stocks, the bread and butter of their equity market, the German blue chip companies, their auto industry, could be facing turbulent times going forward.

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Stock market update

November 26, 2018 / / No Comments

Hi guys. I’ve been away for a month, not because of the markets, but because I was travelling and had a very limited internet access. And as I came back I see that not much has changed. Liquidity is getting sucked out of the markets, strength is being sold into so the markets are going down one by one.

Stocks have so far been hit quite hard, some more than others (see 1, 2 and 3), oil has been killed and don’t me even get started with cryptos (see Expecting a move in Bitcoin).

I would like to see a change though, but until we do we need to be defensive and err on the short side. Let me give you an update about the markets and what to look for going forward. 

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