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Watch Alibaba for clues in emerging markets

September 7, 2018 / / No Comments

There are a lot of debates whether the current stock market is the longest one in history or not. I am in the group of people who thinks that’s not the case. I think this market had a lot of corrections since the bottom in 2009 or since 2013 which was the start of a new secular bull market in my opinion.

Even if you focus only on the US stocks one could argue that the market was in a correction during the 2015-16 period. But for the most of the world markets did not even have a chance to take its former all time highs. Regardless of your or my opinions we have to respect what the market is doing and act accordingly.

And the fact is that most stock markets are under-performing the US market. A nice example of a lagging market as a class are merging markets or $EEM ETF.

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Brazil’s plunge and what can we learn from it?

May 21, 2017 / / No Comments

This week I would like to write about Brazil and it’s stock market. Most of you are probably aware, that the market opened with a nasty gap down of around -17% on Thursday the 18th of May. I was long EWZ, Brazilian ETF and of course I was down on this position that day. I decided to close my position with no hesitation. Let me write about this position and what can one learn from it.  Read More

Eurodollars & emerging markets to rip higher?

May 14, 2017 / / No Comments

Mentioned products: ED, SPX, EEM, EWZ, EXY,

This weekly overview I’d like to dedicate to Eurodollar bond futures and emerging markets. Few weeks ago I wrote that bonds could move higher (the opposite is true for rates); at that time I wrote about TLT ETF which is probably one of the most general bond products.  Read More

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