Why are you so pessimistic?

There is so much pessimism in the market right now and it’s so hard to escape from it. It feels that if one is not bearish, then he must be missing something or he is just a blind bull. I know, there are problems in the world. But was there a time when everything was rosy?

Anyway, today I would like to write a post around a tweet of mine that brought quite a lot of attention. I wrote about the same topic on June the 3rd [1] and now I would like to add few thoughts to challenge you by asking what if we are in the first stage of a multi decade long bull market, similar to the ones that started in early 50s or 80s? Continue reading “Why are you so pessimistic?”

A repeat of 1995 or years that end with 7 pattern?

I didn’t write about the stock market for a while now and there is a good reason for that, there is nothing new – the market is still in a bull trend. So far there is little evidence to suggest this bull run is ending, but on the other hand I’m sure you’ve heard about the quote ‘risk happens fast’. So everyone is probably wondering what to do going forward.

In this post let me show you the pattern of the years that end with 7 as well as why this market is so similar to the market in 1995. Continue reading “A repeat of 1995 or years that end with 7 pattern?”

S&P 500 needs help from broader market participation

This week SPX closed at all time highs and it broke above it’s 3 months trading range. New all time highs is a characteristic we see in bull trends. Now the question is, can we see this move to be extended or rejected. In this post I would like to show you constructive signs based on DJTA, equally weighted SPX and XLF ETF. Continue reading “S&P 500 needs help from broader market participation”

Eurodollars & emerging markets to rip higher?

Mentioned products: ED, SPX, EEM, EWZ, EXY,

This weekly overview I’d like to dedicate to Eurodollar bond futures and emerging markets. Few weeks ago I wrote that bonds could move higher (the opposite is true for rates); at that time I wrote about TLT ETF which is probably one of the most general bond products.  Continue reading “Eurodollars & emerging markets to rip higher?”

Can Le Pen win & could European equities start outperforming?

Mentioned products: SPX, EuroStoxx, DAX30, CAC40, IBEX35, MIB40, GREK, EURGBP

I would like to dedicate this week’s weekly overview to Europe and French election because it’s quite important event for global political and economic situation and therefore for financial markets as well.

My question this week is, can Le Pen win and what are markets telling us? Continue reading “Can Le Pen win & could European equities start outperforming?”