After the best first quarter of a year after quite some time, the rally from the low keeps on going. In March I was advising to get cautious if the market decides to start turning lower. Some might have taken that as too cautionary, however I must remind you we’re still in a cyclical correction and approaching upper trading range. To me playing defense is more important than playing offense. Don’t forget, in October last year we got out of longs and how important that was for preserving our emotional health and keeping an open mind in Q1 this year.
A good thing to see is that under the surface some nice bases are being built. This could provide the necessary fuel to extend this rally towards previous all time highs and later even beyond. This has been my thesis since beginning of the year (see Is it over?). One of the nicest bases being built is in biotech stocks. After a magnificent run between 2011 and 2015 when they more than quadrupled, they’ve been consolidating ever since.Read More