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What to expect next?

February 5, 2019 / / No Comments

I’ve been very quiet in the past month. The reason is that I was intensively working on a new product I will announce in the near future. Sometimes you just got to lock yourself in a room if you want to get things done. Focus is so underestimated thing nowadays. It’s just impossible to deliver a high quality product if your mind is all over the place.

Anyway, more about that when time is right. I want to discuss the market with you. Since my post Is it over? the stocks rallied a lot and most have already forgotten we’ve seen a mini crash in Q4. However, the problem is that, while I think there’s a good chance the bottom is in, the current action does not look like a Typical bottom. So, what to expect next?

The market is behaving very constructive as of late and it’s not far fetched to say the S&P 500 could continue going higher to above of its 200d or up to somewhere 2,800 level – the purple area.

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Stock market update

November 26, 2018 / / No Comments

Hi guys. I’ve been away for a month, not because of the markets, but because I was travelling and had a very limited internet access. And as I came back I see that not much has changed. Liquidity is getting sucked out of the markets, strength is being sold into so the markets are going down one by one.

Stocks have so far been hit quite hard, some more than others (see 1, 2 and 3), oil has been killed and don’t me even get started with cryptos (see Expecting a move in Bitcoin).

I would like to see a change though, but until we do we need to be defensive and err on the short side. Let me give you an update about the markets and what to look for going forward. 

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From tech to financials and energy?

December 3, 2017 / / No Comments

One of the characteristics of a trending stock market is sector rotation. In a bull market not all sectors are necessarily trending higher and sectors are taking leadership in turns. This means that some are bound to outperform while the others are under performing. Sector rotation is a very important fuel of a bull market. So identifying sector rotation is crucial to be successful in the stock market. The phrase past performance is not an indication of future results is something that applies here very well!

We’ve seen increased volatility in the stock market this past week. I think that the reason could have been due to a rotation and not because a major top is forming just yet.  Read More

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